April 2010 - Archives

Friday, April 30th, 2010

2010 Derby – Analysis and Picks

Welcome to the first online version of my Kentucky Derby Field Analysis and Picks… For several years, myself and fellow capper Dave Halpren published our Derby picks via spreadsheet. I have included Dave as a guest capper on this blog to keep the tradition alive, and his picks are included at the bottom of this […]

Tuesday, April 27th, 2010

2010 Derby – Using Pace Figures to Cap the Derby

Let’s discuss pace figures as a means to handicapping the contenders for this year’s Kentucky Derby… Over the last few months, I’ve capped a lot of races. There has been no better tool to improved handicapping and greater profits than pace handicapping.  Analyzing pace figures and scenarios have helped me identify: How many horses want […]

Thursday, April 22nd, 2010

2010 Derby – Evaluating Pedigree

One of the most underrated and profitable angles for the Kentucky Derby is uncovering pedigree plays for the derby distance. We’ll do this by looking at dosage numbers, dosage points and center of distribution. The best profiles typically include a dosage under 4.0, dosage points over 30, and a center of distribution under .33. The […]

Monday, April 19th, 2010

2010 Derby – Grading the Preps

Welcome to the first of many 2010 Triple Crown posts… With the prep races concluding last weekend, it’s time to assess the quality of these races and highlight potential horses for the upcoming derby. Often these races can provide valuable clues as to which horses are rounding into top form for the derby, and which […]