Friday, May 5th, 2023
2023 Derby – Japanese Invasion?
Japanese Invasion in Derby 149??
Belmont Story Lines: 1. Morning Line Debacle Are you kidding me? Who is the dope that set these morning line’s for this year’s Belmont? Exaggerator’s ML at 9/5 is one of the worst assignments of a line for a favorite in modern history. 9/5 should be even money or 6 to 5 at post time. […]
This year’s running of the Preakness stakes looks like a mudfest, with rain predicted to fall all morning and into early afternoon. The below analysis is based on a wet track – overall assumption is that there will be a 90% chance of the track listed as sloppy. If it’s dry save your money. One […]
This year’s derby field looks to be one of the best in recent memory, and Bob Baffert is holding pocket aces, with the first 2 betting choices – American Pharaoh and Dortmund. Let’s be clear, the field is one of the best in recent history – but it is very top heavy, and not the […]
Pony Capper is finally in the black as we hit a nice trifecta on January 23rd. I really like today’s card at tampa as there is some nice fields and betting opportunities. So, let’s get right to the selections. Best Bets: Race 4 Horse 4 – Zephyrine (7-2) Was bet in debut and flopped […]
Another bad beat for ponycapper as 4-1 shot Saturdays for Fun lost by a nose yesterday. What is encouraging is that the best bets are running 2nd, so I may have to adjust my wagering strategy. Today, in addition to my best bets and plays, I will be giving my full card selections as […]
Best Bet: Race 9 Horse #3 – Saturdays for Fun (7-2) Angles: 1 – Had 2 brutal trips in a row as he lacked room basically for the whole stretch, and was full of run when clear. Only negative is he may get overbet as the public may have seen the trouble although it was […]
Best Bet Race 9 Horse #2 – Desert Bliss – 8-1 Angles: 1 – Best speed figures in the race. On multiple occasions, ran a higher speed figure than any other horse in the race. 2 – He is dropping in class. The allowance races for NY races are WAY better than these beaten claimers. […]
Welcome to the 2nd online version of my Kentucky Derby Field Analysis and Picks… For several years, myself and fellow capper Dave Halpren published our Derby picks via spreadsheet. I have included Dave as a guest capper on this blog to keep the tradition alive, and his picks are included at the bottom of this […]
Whitey Degenerate Fund – 3-19 Plays Total Wagering Outlay – $162 Locks Gulfstream – Race 9 – 50K claim Turf 9 – Lucas Brady 5-1 – His last race on the turf at Calder was a key race. He was claimed by a good barn 2 back. Today he is adding Lasix. He should run […]