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Weekly Results & Lessons Learned – Week 1 – (January 2nd)

Selection 1 – Jan 2

Wager type – Value Play
Track – Tampa
Race Number – 3
Horse Name – Unseen Glory
Horse Number – 4
Morning Line – 8-1
Condition – 8K NW3L

Result- 2nd
Off odds – 5-1

Re-cap – the favorite (7) was allowed to run uncontested on slow pace and won

Lessons Learned –

• When the pace scenario is not in your favor, it’s best to look for another spot.
• Horses can win first over tampa but it is rare and is a money burning proposition – horses most always over the surface and should not be backed unless there is value

Exotic Notes – My 6 ran a nice 3rd at price

Wagers
Win bet amount – – $20 win 4
Exacta, Trifecta wagers – $5 exacta box 4-6
Total wagered – $30
Total won (lost) – (30)

****

Selection 2 – January 2
Wager type – Longshot Play
Track – Tampa
Race Number – 7
Horse Name – All Thrill
Horse Number – 2
Morning Line – 20-1
Condition – Mdn 25 Turf

Result- 3rd
Off odds – 43-1

Re-cap – My horse set the pace and was looking to pull of a shocker only to get tired about 50 yards out and wound up a nice third as a bomb.

Lessons Learned –

• Upgrade Sire Gulf Storm on the turf. The son of Storm Cat may produce bombs on the turf as he has Alydar and Northern Dancer on Dam side.
• Upgrade Ken Manness on turf as he can get the bombs first turf.
• As I predicted, the Sheppard layoff horse ran off the board as 2^nd choice.
• Layoff horses are the worst bets in racing.

Win bet amount – – $15 win 2
Exacta, Trifecta wagers – $1 exacta box 1-2-3, $5 exacta box 2-10
Total wagered – $31
Total won (lost) – (31)
*****

Selection 3 – January 2
Wager type – Spot Play
Track – Tampa
Race Number – 8
Horse Name – Put to the Test
Horse Number – 1
Morning Line – 15-1
Condition – Allow opt claim

Result – Off the board
Off odds – 7-1

Re-cap – My horse never made the lead. The jockey let a euro shipper take command early and he almost stole it. Once the horse never made the lead he was toast as he is a need the lead type

Lessons Learned –

• Downgrade pedro cotto as send jockey. That was terrible.
• Just because you handicap a race shape doesn’t mean it will pan out as jockeys play an integral role in how the race shape unfolds.
• These type of tough allowance races are difficult to predict.
• When the betting public jumps on a horse often it’s a bad signal
• Need the lead horses may not offer value

Wagers
Win bet amount – – $10 win 2
Exacta, Trifecta wagers – $5 exacta box 2-9. $1 Trifecta key 9 over the 1-2-3
Total wagered – $26
Total won (lost) – (26)

****
Selection 4 – January 4th
Wager type – Spot Play
Track – Golden Gate
Race Number – 6
Horse Name – Trapper’s Reward
Horse Number – 8
Morning Line – 4-1
Condition – Open 4k

Result – 1st
Off odds – 2-1

Re-cap – The horse was hammered in wagering as he was actually dropping in class into time restricted claimer from open company. Horse won giving Whitey his first PE winner.

Lessons Learned –

• Stable Notes are key.
• Trouble trip angle is money.

Wagers
Win bet amount – – $20 win 8
Exacta, Trifecta wagers –
Total wagered – $20
Total won (lost) – 40

****
Selection 5 – January 4th
Wager type – Longshot Play
Track – Fair Grounds
Race Number – 10
Horse Name – Ty’s Bandit
Horse Number – 3
Morning Line – 20-1
Condition – Mdn 10

Result – Mid Pack
Off odds – 44-1

Re-cap – had a troubled beginning but not sure how much that impacted result

Lessons Learned –

• Stable Notes was a loser
• Inside money angle on Mouton FTS horse not a good predictor 2^nd out
• Got good value on a live longshot. Didn’t pan out.
• Still love the 2^nd time starter angle as it’s a great longshot angle
• You cash less tickets but when you hit it should be a price – look for value.

Wagers
Win bet amount – – $15 win 3
Exacta, Trifecta wagers –
Total wagered – $15
Total won (lost) – (15)

 

Total Loss for week – $62
New Bankroll Balance – $938