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Race 2

I like a lot:

11 – Mondego (10-1)

Comments:

I marked this one as a future turf star back in FEB but he has disappointed as of late. Still, I think this one may be primed for a big one in a field lacking pace. Maybe he tries to steal it.

Betting this one to win and place.

Predicted Order of Finish:

No clue, just betting the 11, maybe throw 6 and 7 in exacta box

Race 3 – Dirt Mile

I like a lot:

7 – Algiers (6-1)

************UPDATE SCRATCHED — NO PLAY*******

Comments:

Horse has banked 2.9 million on the dirt and it feels like the last was just a prep. He will have to beat the favorite Cody’s Wish, who may be vulnerable around two turns. Overall, feels like a watered down rendition with the scratch of practical move and not a ton of speed signed on.

I’ll play the 7 to win with a nice exacta box with the 3 Cody’s Wish

Predicted Order of Finish:

7 – Algiers ******SCRATCH*****

3 – Cody’s Wish

6 – Skippy Longstocking

UPdate

EX box 3-6

Race 4 – F&M TURF

Slight Lean:

1 – In Italian (4-1)

9 – Didia (8-1)

Comments:

Starting on the hill will benefit this mare as she can carry her speed further, in a field that lacks pace. If she can set a comfortable pace, she is the most likely winner.

My upset special horse is the 9, Didia. Could get the perfect set up laying off the pace and its hard to ignore that she is 9 for 11 lifetime on the turf, and likes it firm. She is a major Player and will be using in the multi race gimmicks. The best EURO looks to be the 6 Inspiral as she has banked 2.6 million and might be tough to beat. I also like a flyer in the 7 Lindy at 12-1 to hit the board. If she was 4 instead of 3 and had soft ground she would be tough. Still, can make noise late.

Win bet 1

Ex box 1-9

Predicted Order of Finish:

1 – In Italian

9 – Didia

6 – Inspiral

7 – Lindy

Race 5 – F&M SPRINT

Strong Opinion, but not great betting race, I like:

1 – Good Night Olive (6-5)

Comments:

BY far, the stand out of the day but I wont be using to win. I will look to single in the multi’s. She is a 7F dirt specialist and should beat this mediocre field. She is 8 for 11 lifetime and has beat some tough competition. Would love her more if she wasn’t on rail. I will try and make some money with my 2^nd choice running up into the exacta and that will be the 5 Kirstenbosch, who should really get a nice set up and the extra distance will definitely help her style. The addition of blinkers really helped two back. Outisde chance to upset but will play her in combination with the favorite in exactas. The 7 society is a main danger to wire the field as 2^nd choice if the 3 horse doesn’t try for the lead.

EX 1 – 5

Ex box 1-5

TRI Straight

1 with 5 with 7

1 with 5 with all

Saver win bet 5

Predicted Order of Finish:

1 – Good Night Olive

5 – Kirstenbosch

7 – Society

Race 6 – TURF MILE

No strong opinion, looks wide open, tread lightly, save bankroll for later

Slight lean to:

3 – Casa Creed

Comments:

Will be pace dependent but I like him rolling late to mow them all down. He is the best the US has to offer. Feels like the ML is inflated so don’t be surprised if he is 5-1 come post. MY longshot flyer in this race will be the 1 Shirl Speight who could hit the board at a massive price (30-1 ML). Johnny V jumps on and it feels like a ground saving trip will improve the chances. The 10 Songline (5-2) could be a tough customer from Japan and the most likely winner of the group of favorites. The 14 master of the seas drew a tough post but has a ton of talent and is a danger.

Treading lightly overall as EUROs dominate this race but will give a look to a small win bet on Casa Creed.

And a what the heck very small TRI Box – 1-3-10-14

Predicted Order of Finish:

3 – Casa Creed

10 – Songline

1 – Shirl Speight

14 – Master of the Seas

Race 7 – DISTAFF

Strong Opinion here, I like:

9 – Clairiere (4-1)

6 – Search Results (5-1)

Could be a wise guy horse and get bet down as it looks obvious on paper that she might get the best set up with all the speed signed on. Won’t be surprised if she is 5-2 come post but I do feel she has the best chance of winning, and is worth a hefty wager. The 6 Search results is capable on her best day and she can be tactical which may work to her advantage. If the pace is fast, don’t be surprised if the 7 Wet Paint runs a big one at 10-1. The set up will be ideal and will be running late to hit the board.

Win bet 9

Big EX BOX – 6-9

TRI BOX – 6-7-9

Predicted Order of Finish:

9 – Clairiere

6 – Search Results

7 – Wet Paint

Race 8 – TURF

I like:

8 – Up to the Mark (5-1)

Comments:

I think the extra distance helps here and I don’t think we have seen this ones true potential. Yes, the EUROs excel in this race but at a square price of 5-1 I will run to the windows and hope for the best. I will take a flyer with Japanese horse Shahryar (15-1) to blow up the exotics. Has banked over 8 million and is one of the best in Japan. He likes it firm too which adds to the intrigue. The 9 Mostahdaf (5-2) has the best chance of the EUROS and will use him defensively in exotics. A longshot that could hit the board is the 10 Adhamo (30-1) who is a Brown runner that is 3^rd off the layoff and has some good races last year that might make him a danger.

Win bet 8

Ex box 1-8

Small tri box – 1-8-9-10

Predicted Order of Finish:

8 – Up to the Mark

1 – Shahryar

9 – Mostahdaf

10 – Adhamo

Race 9 – Classic

Kind of feels like an all race as things might get crazy.

But, I will give a lean to:

8 – Ushba Tesoro (4-1)

Comments:

Winner of 7 of 8 and 9 million on the dirt feels like a stand out and offers tremendous value at 4-1. The Japanese runner could be boom or bust and perhaps it’s a sucker bet, as it may look too easy. If he doesn’t win, then I think its bombs away. The 5 Dermo Sotogake (20-1) was my derby pick and he hasn’t run since that dreadful performance. He fought through a foot issue which kept him on the sideline and I am not 100% sure he is fit and ready to go. Still, the talent is there and wouldn’t be surprised if he runs a big one. Another longshot with a great chance to hit the board is the 10 Dreamlike (30-1). This guy has yet to unleash his full talent and I have good feeling he will run a big one at a huge number. He would be my pick to win this race next year as he has all the makings of a horse who will get better with seasoning and age. The same connections won this race at SA with Vino Rosso and on talent, this one may not be too far behind, even though it doesn’t look as such on paper. The 13 Proxy may run decent and hit the board.

Overall, looks like a race with overhyped favorites and marginal 3 YOs running on reputation vs softer competition in their running lines.

Win bet 8

Small saver win bet 5

Ex box 5-8-10

TRI – I will key 8 with 5-10-13 with all

Predicted Order of Finish:

8 – Ushba Tesoro

5 – Dermo Sotogake

10 – Dreamlike

13 – Proxy

Race 10 – Turf Sprint

Good luck figuring this one out. I will hit the ALL button and move on. Feels like 8 horses can win and of those with a chance I like the 1,3,5,7, 14

Take the race off and enjoy the madness of a longshot crossing the wire first.

Race 11 – Sprint

Looks like a chalk fest to end the day and I wont be doing anything crazy. The 7 might wire the field in a paceless race. But will look to be alive with the 4 logicals here.

Predicted Order of Finish:

7 – Speed Boat Beach

8 – Elite Power

6 – The Chosen Vron

2 – Dr. Schievel