As the Title would indicate, I will start out by saying confidence is sky high for the 2017 Derby. With one caveat – confidence is fairly high that 2 of my top 5 picks will finish 1-2 so I will be focusing most of my attention on HITTING THE EXACTA !!!!!!!. The downside is if […]
Belmont Story Lines: 1. Morning Line Debacle Are you kidding me? Who is the dope that set these morning line’s for this year’s Belmont? Exaggerator’s ML at 9/5 is one of the worst assignments of a line for a favorite in modern history. 9/5 should be even money or 6 to 5 at post time. […]
This year’s running of the Preakness stakes looks like a mudfest, with rain predicted to fall all morning and into early afternoon. The below analysis is based on a wet track – overall assumption is that there will be a 90% chance of the track listed as sloppy. If it’s dry save your money. One […]
Rundown: Race Overview Favorite Breakdown Win Contenders Spoilers-Longshots Exotic Inclusions Pilot to Bombardier Likely Scenarios Betting Strategy Pick Summary Race Overview This year’s run for the roses looks like a bettors dream with a plethora of dead money in the pools on hopeless longshots and a favorite with questionable distance pedigree. There is not much […]
I will open with my stat of the week – In the last 36 years, only 6 favorites have won the Belmont. There has to be something to this and I am beginning to think it may be at least another year for a triple crown winner. I know, I know – I predicted Pharoah […]
On paper, this year’s Preakness looks pretty formful as American Pharoah scared away a lot of the local competition and we are left with a field of 8. Pharoah is 4 to 5 on the M/L and will probably be bet down lower than that come post time. While most handicappers are concerned with the […]
This year’s derby field looks to be one of the best in recent memory, and Bob Baffert is holding pocket aces, with the first 2 betting choices – American Pharaoh and Dortmund. Let’s be clear, the field is one of the best in recent history – but it is very top heavy, and not the […]
All eyes will be on Belmont Park today, the epicenter of racing in the golden ages of the 1970’s when the great Secretariat, Seattle Slew and Affirmed took down racing’s most illustrious prize. Its been 36 years and 11 failed attempts, but Cali Chrome will look to avenge the luck of his predecessors today in […]
While it is quite possible that Cal Chrome makes a mockery of the Preakness field today, and takes one step closer towards the elusive triple crown, I will be making a stand against him from a wagering perspective. He likely will go off at odds of 1 to 2 and there is no value in […]
This year’s derby comes down to whether California Chrome either: A, likes the CD surface and B, can work out a trip. If the answer is yes on both fronts, the race is pretty much over and you can look to find value underneath in exotics. With the speed signed on in the race – […]
