Welcome to the 2018 Triple Crown trail. This will be my first prep race rendition for this blog as I haven’t posted any prep races in the past. Tampa Bay Downs Derby is on the docket today There are two main scratches for the race – Free Drop Billy and Enticed will run in the […]
Heading into the 2017 Belmont, story lines are blurred as both the Derby and Preakness winners are skipping the Belmont Stakes, leaving a field of 12 signed on to test their meddle in the grueling mile and a half race over Big Sandy – the local reference to historic Belmont Park. Ponycapper followers know that […]
Astute followers of this blog know last year’s Preakness was a huge windfall for Ponycapper, so the question becomes — was it a one year fluke? Time will tell… What I do know is the Derby was a disaster for me with only Battle of Midway showing up in the slop. The forecast looks dry […]
As the Title would indicate, I will start out by saying confidence is sky high for the 2017 Derby. With one caveat – confidence is fairly high that 2 of my top 5 picks will finish 1-2 so I will be focusing most of my attention on HITTING THE EXACTA !!!!!!!. The downside is if […]
Belmont Story Lines: 1. Morning Line Debacle Are you kidding me? Who is the dope that set these morning line’s for this year’s Belmont? Exaggerator’s ML at 9/5 is one of the worst assignments of a line for a favorite in modern history. 9/5 should be even money or 6 to 5 at post time. […]
This year’s running of the Preakness stakes looks like a mudfest, with rain predicted to fall all morning and into early afternoon. The below analysis is based on a wet track – overall assumption is that there will be a 90% chance of the track listed as sloppy. If it’s dry save your money. One […]
Rundown: Race Overview Favorite Breakdown Win Contenders Spoilers-Longshots Exotic Inclusions Pilot to Bombardier Likely Scenarios Betting Strategy Pick Summary Race Overview This year’s run for the roses looks like a bettors dream with a plethora of dead money in the pools on hopeless longshots and a favorite with questionable distance pedigree. There is not much […]
I will open with my stat of the week – In the last 36 years, only 6 favorites have won the Belmont. There has to be something to this and I am beginning to think it may be at least another year for a triple crown winner. I know, I know – I predicted Pharoah […]
On paper, this year’s Preakness looks pretty formful as American Pharoah scared away a lot of the local competition and we are left with a field of 8. Pharoah is 4 to 5 on the M/L and will probably be bet down lower than that come post time. While most handicappers are concerned with the […]
This year’s derby field looks to be one of the best in recent memory, and Bob Baffert is holding pocket aces, with the first 2 betting choices – American Pharaoh and Dortmund. Let’s be clear, the field is one of the best in recent history – but it is very top heavy, and not the […]
